Vaccine Related Deaths

math-symbols-union-intersectionVaccine-related deaths in the U.S. are over 26,000 a year. The deaths are not by needle in arm, but occur years later, with union and intersection to vaccinations, in a way that is illuminated by statistics.

First, a foil will set our stage. HIV weakens the immune system by direct attack; vaccinations weaken benelles by never using them. Thus an “AIDS vaccine” would be an irony, and odd, since the solution for AIDS is within HIV, but we digress. In a nutshell, disuse presents risk by blocking health-by-virus (HbV).

With vaccine-related deaths, there is a long separation between injection and death, obscuring exactly which deaths were vaccine-related, but very much piercing tens of thousands with mathematical dagger. First, the estimated mortality rate of four common viruses we vaccinate for.

Mortality Rate - Viruses We Vaccinate For

Chicken Pox0.003%
Mumps0.02%
Whooping Cough0.19%
Measles0.20%

And here were the rates of these viruses before vaccination began.

Estimated Historical Annual Cases in U.S. Before Vaccinations

Chicken Pox4,000,000
Mumps151,209
Whooping Cough41,000
Measles600,000

Since U.S. population has increased since vaccinations, let’s inflate estimated wild cases by equivalent percentages. This is an educated guess for how many cases would develop annually if the country were not vaccinating.

Estimated Cases in 2015 Without Vaccination

Chicken Pox5,000,000
Mumps235,000
Whooping Cough73,000
Measles1,075,000

Given the mortality rates, this would lead to projected annual deaths as follows.

Estimated U.S. Annual Deaths in 2015 without Vaccination

Chicken Pox150
Mumps47
Whooping Cough139
Measles2,150
TOTAL2,486

Nearly 2,500 people a year would die if we stopped vaccinating for these four viruses in the U.S. This is a strong argument for continuing to vaccinate.

But how many lives would be saved without vaccinations?

For this, we need to look at the relationship of vaccination to long-term disease. The evidence suggests that three of these wild viruses prevent a significant percentage of chronic disease.

  • Chickenpox reduces glioma brain tumor risk by 15%
  • Chickenpox reduces asthma risk by 88%
  • Asthma increases lung cancer risk by 82%
  • Measles reduce Hodgkin’s lymphoma risk by 30%
  • Whooping cough reduces childhood leukemia risk by 23%

Here are the mortality rates of these chronic diseases.

Mortality Rates of Chronic Diseases

Glioma92%
Hodgkin's lymphoma12%
Childhood leukemia15%
Asthma0.015%
Lung cancer82%

Here are the number of new cases diagnosed each year.

Number of New Annual U.S. Cases

Glioma21,000
Hodgkin's lymphoma9,050
Childhood leukemia3,810
Asthma393,218
Lung cancer221,200

Here are the estimated number of new cases of chronic illness indirectly caused by taking immunizations instead of catching wild type viruses. Here, we make the assumption that without vaccination, all kids would catch wild chickenpox, wild whooping cough, etc. The CDC makes similar assumptions; you can see by studying paragraph 3 in this measles pinkbook, quoted here:

Before a vaccine was available, infection with measles virus was nearly universal during childhood, and more than 90% of persons were immune by age 15 years.

Estimated Annual Cases Caused by Missing Wild Type Virus (i.e. being immunized)

Glioma3,150
Hodgkin's lymphoma2,750
Childhood leukemia876
Asthma346,032
Lung cancer23,000

Here are the estimated number of annual deaths that were indirectly caused by taking immunizations instead of catching wild type viruses.

Estimated Deaths Caused by Missing Wild Type Virus (i.e. being immunized)

Glioma2,898
Hodgkin's lymphoma330
Childhood leukemia131
Asthma52
Lung cancer23,000
TOTAL 26,411

It is incorrect to say vaccines cause 26,000 annual deaths. The vaccines cause the conditions that cause about 26,000 deaths a year. In the same vein, vaccines don’t save lives either. The vaccines prevent viruses that would cause about 2,500 deaths a year. In sum, with vaccinations we net 23,500 more deaths each year.

With vaccinations, parents are swapping viruses for chronic diseases. The children avoid the viruses up front, but face increased cancer risk down the road. Because parents can “see” a virus like chickenpox, fear motivates toward the illogical choice of protection against chickenpox—and doubles the child’s long-term risk of death. This is similar to fearing air travel when stats show we should fear our car. To make a good decision, we need to trust math more than we fear little red spots.

Unfortunately, there’s no free lunch. You must place your bets with chickenpox or brain tumor. Essentially, if you don’t mind increasing your child’s brain tumor risk by 15%, you can “skip” chickenpox by giving her the varicella vaccine. But the chess player would take the chickenpox and be thankful for the better odds.

Personally, I’d be furious if anyone was legally allowed to force my children into higher brain tumor risk. In fact, there should be a vaccine risk legal disclosure form that shifts risk to parents, so they might pause and consider such a heavy choice. I mean, vaccinating for chickenpox appears to reduce risk of asthma by 88%, and asthma increases lung cancer risk by 82%. As lifetime smokers have a lung cancer risk of  about 15%, the chicken pox vaccine might be nearly as great a lung cancer risk as lifetime smoking—making vaccination the epitome of a personal health decision.

Health-by-virus (HbV) is barely being scratched. Research points to over 26,000 vaccine-related deaths per year, and we don’t yet have any HbV mumps research, so this gap is actually wider, but we need more data to see it. For instance, a novel new study reveals flu-infected lungs express five antigens…the same five antigens expressed by lung tumor cells. So, for lung benelles, fighting the flu is like going to school to fight lung cancer. In this light, a flu shot lets you “skip school”, but increases your long-term risk of radiation, chemo, and lung removal.

We need parents that understand statistics and math to talk to other parents. Together, we can engage the government to keep vaccinations optional, and hopefully provide disclosure risk to parents too busy to do their own health analysis. Vaccines increase our children’s risk of death by preventing wild viruses. Parents should have the right to vaccinate…or not.

 

Citations:

Shows measles cases in US were around an average of 600,000 per year before 1960. Thus with U.S. population at 177.8 million in 1959, and 318.9 million in 2014, a 79% increase, equivalency without vaccine is extrapolated to be approximately 1,075,000 without vaccination.

Koo D, et al “MMWR Summary of Notifiable Diseases, United States, 1993″ MMWR October 21, 1994 / 42(53);1-73 weblink

Shows whooping cough cases reached up to 23 per 100,000 before 1960. With U.S. population at 177.8 million in 1959, the total was approximately 41,000. With population at 318.9 million in 2014, equivalency without vaccine would be approximately 73,000  :

Koo D, et al “MMWR Summary of Notifiable Diseases, United States, 1993″ MMWR October 21, 1994 / 42(53);1-73 weblink

Shows chickenpox mortality rate is approximately 125/4,000,000 or 0.003%. As the CDC estimates an average of 4 million cases in the early 1990s when population was 257 million, population has increased by about 25% by 2015, thus we extrapolate there would be 5 million cases a year without vaccination.

http://www.cdc.gov/chickenpox/surveillance.html Quoted here:

Chickenpox (varicella) used to be very common in the United States before the chickenpox vaccine became available in 1995. In the early 1990s, an average of 4 million people got chickenpox, 10,500 to 13,000 were hospitalized (range, 8,000 to 18,000), and 100 to 150 died each year. Most of the severe complications and deaths from chickenpox occurred in people who were previously healthy. Each year, more than 3.5 million cases of varicella, 9,000 hospitalizations, and 100 deaths are prevented by varicella vaccination in the United States.

Shows whooping cough mortality rate is 56/28,998 or 0.19%

MMWR December 23, 2005 / 54(50);1283-1286 weblink

Shows measles mortality rate is approximately 0.2%

http://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/pubs/pinkbook/downloads/meas.pdf

CDC Pinkbook on mumps, shows mortality is 2/10,000 or 0.02%

http://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/pubs/pinkbook/downloads/mumps.pdf

Shows chickenpox cases were 4 million per year before vaccination began in 1995:

http://www.cdc.gov/chickenpox/surveillance.html

Shows 19th century mortality averages versus 20th century, including a surprise about tetanus:

Hinman A, et al “Vaccine-Preventable Diseases, Immunizations, and MMWR — 1961–2011″ October 7, 2011 / 60(04);49-57 weblink

Indicates chickenpox reduces glioma brain tumor risk by 15%:

Canniff J, et al “Cytotoxicity of glioblastoma cells mediated ex vivo by varicella-zoster virus-specific T cells” J Neurovirol. 2011 Oct;17(5):448-54. doi: 10.1007/s13365-011-0048-z

Shows chickenpox protects against glioma brain tumors:

Wrensch M, et al “History of chickenpox and shingles and prevalence of antibodies to varicella-zoster virus and three other herpesviruses among adults with glioma and controls.” Am J Epidemiol. 2005 May 15;161(10):929-38 Pubmed link

Shows the varicella vaccine deprives benefits that wild-type offers, thereby increasing allergic rhinoconjunctivitis risk by 84%, and asthma risk by 88%:

Silverberg J, et al “Chickenpox in childhood is associated with decreased atopic disorders, IgE, allergic sensitization, and leukocyte subsets” Pediatr Allergy Immunol. 2012 Feb;23(1):50-8. doi:10.1111/j.1399-3038.2011.01224.x

Shows asthma increases risk of lung cancer by 85%:

Mayne S, et al “Previous lung disease and risk of lung cancer among men and women nonsmokers.” Am J Epidemiol. 1999 Jan 1;149(1):13-20. weblink

Shows women who had childhood measles had 30% less risk of  Hodgkin’s lymphoma:

Glaser S, et al “Exposure to childhood infections and risk of Epstein-Barr virus–defined Hodgkin’s lymphoma in women” Int J Cancer. 2005 Jul 1;115(4):599-605. Pubmed link.

Shows catching a persistent cough in first year of life reduces childhood leukemia risk by 23%:

Urayama K, et al “Early life exposure to infections and risk of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia”  Int J Cancer. 2011 Apr 1; 128(7): 1632–1643. doi:  10.1002/ijc.25752

Shows glioblastoma has a 92% mortality rate:

OncoLog, March 2011, Vol. 56, No. 3 weblink

Shows Hodgkin’s lymphoma has a 12% mortality rate:

http://seer.cancer.gov/archive/csr/1975_2011/results_merged/sect_09_hodgkins.pdf

Shows childhood leukemia mortality rate is approximately 15%:

http://www.cancer.org/cancer/leukemiainchildren/overviewguide/childhood-leukemia-overview-survival-rates

Shows asthma deaths are 3,630 annually: 

Detailed Tables for the National Vital Statistics Report (NVSR) “Deaths: Final
Data for 2013.”  http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr64/nvsr64_02.pdf

http://www.lung.org/finding-cures/our-research/trend-reports/asthma-trend-report.pdf

Shows asthma in the U.S. is at 25,000,000 meaning mortality rate is 3,630/25,000,000 which is 0.015%:

http://www.cdc.gov/vitalsigns/asthma/

Shows about 1 in 10 children (10%) have developed asthma:

http://www.cdc.gov/vitalsigns/asthma/

Shows U.S. births in 2013 were 3,932,181, meaning that 10%, or 393,218, will be diagnosed with asthma:

Martin J, et al “Births: Final Data for 2013″ NVSS Volume 64, Number 1 January 15, 2015 weblink

Math for lung cancer (caused by missing wild virus) estimates:

Of new annual asthma cases of 393,218, the risk factor of asthma for each person was increased by 88% if vaccination prevented them from catching wild chickenpox, leaving a possible pool of 346,032 of vaccination-related, new asthma cases per year. Since asthma doubles lifetime risk of lung cancer, and lifetime risk of lung cancer is 6.7%, then 6.7% of the 346,032 will be likely to develop lung cancer, which is 23,184, rounded down to 23,000.

Shows men’s lifetime lung cancer risk is 7.63% and women’s is 5.77%, for a blended risk of 6.7%, or 6.8% if you use Cancer.org’s estimate:

http://www.cancerresearchuk.org/health-professional/cancer-statistics/risk/lifetime-risk#heading-Two

http://www.cancer.org/cancer/cancerbasics/lifetime-probability-of-developing-or-dying-from-cancer

Shows lifetime smoking risk of lung cancer is approximately 15 percent:

Brennan P, et al “High Cumulative Risk of Lung Cancer Death among Smokers and Nonsmokers in Central and Eastern Europe” Am. J. Epidemiol. (2006) 164 (12): 1233-1241.
doi: 10.1093/aje/kwj340

 

Meta Analysis

There is a fallacy with current virus mortality statistics. The mortality rate of viruses is being exaggerated for two reasons:

  • many cases are not officially reported
  • many people catch an asymptomatic form and never even know they are sick

Let us look to Ebola and Bill Murray to illustrate. With Ebola, about 30% of people infected in an outbreak never even know they have Ebola. With Bill Murray, only one of eight siblings who had polio showed symptoms, meaning 88% of that family never even knew they had polio. This means the status quo is calculating mortality with a denominator that is somewhere between 30% and 88% too small, thus inflating mortality rates.

What Ebola and Bill Murray are telling us is that viral mortality is actually much lower than advertised. Let’s be conservative and go with Ebola’s 30% as the silent or “walking immunity” standard. We must increase each mortality denominator (chickenpox 4 million, mumps 10,000, whooping cough 28,998, measles 1,075,000) by 1.3 This translates to the following “real” rates:

Virus Mortality Rates Assuming 30% Silent Immunity

Chickenpox 0.002%
Mumps0.015%
Whooping cough0.149%
Measles0.154%

These lower “real” mortality rates translate to fewer deaths:

"Real" U.S. Annual Deaths in 2015 without Vaccination

Chickenpox100
Mumps36
Whooping cough109
Measles1,656
TOTAL1,901

This widens the gap to nearly 14 times in favor of health-by-virus (HbV) over vaccination. And this is with the handicap of not knowing what other chronic diseases the viruses protect against.

Unfortunately, the healthcare ship takes every opportunity to steer toward icebergs. It turns out that asthma increases risk for catching whooping cough. With Benelles, this data is the expression of a logical outcome: we’ve vaccinated for chickenpox, which has indirectly caused lung dysfunction and asthma, which has thus opened the door wider for whooping cough. From this, Benelles concludes, “If we want less whooping cough, we need to more chickenpox, so stop vaccinating for chickenpox.” But given this same data, healthcare “experts” are reaching the exact opposite conclusion:

Given the high prevalence of asthma and the ongoing risk of pertussis throughout the United States, consideration of defining asthmatic subjects as a target group for pertussis vaccination … should be given.

Capili C, et al “Increased risk of pertussis in patients with asthma” J Allergy Clin Immunol. 2012 Apr; 129(4): 957–963. doi: 10.1016/j.jaci.2011.11.020

To solve the health problems that vaccines are causing…they want to vaccinate more? This mirrors our toxic pesticide issue. The weeds keep evolving back so we need stronger pesticide, despite honeybee and environmental collapse?

The real sting is from the elite who have taken control of our healthcare and environmental law. The Benelles path seeks to reverse this; viewing honeybees as partners, HbV as wise, pesticides as toxic, and the connection between good cells and natural environment as intelligent and sublime.